Economics News (23rd August, 2025)

India–U.S. Trade Negotiations & Tariffs India's Foreign Minister Subrahmanyam Jaishankar confirmed that trade talks with the U.S. are still underway. However, hefty U.S. tariffs—25% currently in effect and another 25% set to be imposed on August 27—loom over Indian exports, particularly due to India’s increased purchases of Russian oil. A planned visit by U.S. trade negotiators from August 25–29 has been canceled, dimming hopes of relief. Economists at Capital Economics warn that if fully enforced, these tariffs could shave 0.8 percentage points off India’s economic growth in both 2025 and 2026, and potentially undermine India’s future as a global manufacturing hub. U.S. Interest Rate Outlook – Jackson Hole Speech by Fed’s Powell Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell delivered a closely watched speech at the Jackson Hole symposium, hinting that interest rate cuts may be on the horizon—potentially as early as September. He cited a weakening labor market and persistent inflation risks, prompting markets to rally sharply: the S&P 500 surged, U.S. borrowing costs fell, and the dollar weakened. Analysts estimate up to two rate cuts could occur by year-end, though internal division within the Fed remains. UK Inflation & Rate-Cut Prospects In the U.K., inflation climbed to 3.8% in July—well above expectations—and is forecasted to peak at 4.0% in September before easing gradually. However, it is expected to stay above the Bank of England’s 2% target through 2026. Following five consecutive rate cuts since July 2024, current elevated inflation levels have cast doubt on further cuts, with projections now indicating no additional reductions until 2026. Free BackLinks Plesk Forum - FlyAirportNow
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