Economics News (26th July, 2025)

India: Trade Momentum and Inflation Trends India-UK Free Trade Agreement Finalized India and the UK have signed the Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement (CETA), hailed by Commerce Minister Piyush Goyal as “game-changing.” The deal is expected to benefit sectors like agriculture, textiles, and services, and is part of India’s broader push for trade pacts with the EU, US, and New Zealand. Record-Low Inflation Forecast India’s retail inflation is projected to hit a historic low in July, with FY26 CPI expected at 3.0–3.2%, below the RBI’s 3.7% estimate. This follows a recent rate cut, with the central bank now focusing on capital formation. Gold Prices Dip Below ₹1 Lakh Gold prices in India have fallen below ₹1 lakh per 10 grams amid global corrections and easing trade tensions. Silver prices have also declined in tandem. Global Economy: Trade Talks and Monetary Policies CB Pauses Rate Hikes The European Central Bank has held interest rates steady for the first time in over a year, signaling a cautious approach amid ongoing trade uncertainties. US-China Trade Discussions Resume Upcoming talks in Stockholm will address China's export dependence and broader trade imbalances, as both nations seek to stabilize economic relations. China Proposes Global AI Cooperation China has proposed the establishment of a global AI cooperation organization to coordinate efforts in regulating and advancing AI technologies. Economic Outlook: Growth Projections and Risks ADB Lowers India’s Growth Forecast The Asian Development Bank has revised India’s FY26 GDP growth forecast to 6.5% from 6.7%, citing the impact of US tariff policies. Global Growth Remains Uneven S&P Global projects 2025 GDP growth rates of 2.2% for the US, 1.5% for the EU, 5.2% for China, and 6.3% for India, highlighting regional disparities amid global economic challenges. Free Backlinks chiguu.com
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